Trend research for investing, please. (In & out of mutual funds)?

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H3NDO

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Rather than biting my nails and praying that a single company gets the bump to make me some profit, I'd rather trade mutual funds. I don't know the exact term of trading, but I consider anything less than the -somewhat tax advantaged 12 months- trading.

There is a direction I'm trying to move my assets towards and I'm sure there are people more experienced than myself already accomplishing this feat. Here is my financial allocation ambition:

Take the small amount of money that I have and place in a mutual fund depending on market trends. For example, maybe it's a hot time for technology. Then a month, two months or even six months later sell all shares for their value at the end of that business day and let it sit for three business days. Next, take that money (which should be a considerable profit percentage) and place it in another mutual fund that consists of trendy stocks, or place it into a fund that is considered 'emerging.'

The way this investment vehicle drives depends on market research and due diligence. The problem is that I don't know where to look or how to spot trends. I would like to say that I'm financially savvy, but my track record on small caps proves me wrong.

Once again, I'm looking for guidance on how to research trends for investments. I'm also open to any interesting stories about financial accomplishments or defeats. This is more of a Finance 202 or 303 question. I've done my research for the entry level knowledge. Any guidance on this topic would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!!!!!
 
All in, all out, jumping around, big trends, trendy stocks, that never works. Read up on risk and asset allocation.

All in, all out and jumping around defies the concept of money management and ensures a loss due to volatility. Trendy stocks are trendy therefore at a premium and are a bad investment. What is a trend, when do you know it's a trend? You only know trends after the fact, best you can do is to try and be early on a trend which also means misidentifying trends. Sounds more like Finance 001.
 
I love these plans that have the really key important element left vague "I put it into the mutual fund that is going to go up" and the really irrelevant elements carefully specified "I let it sit for three days". If you could pick the mutual fund that was going to up consistently you would have a sector rotation model that a hedge fund could use to make 100's of millions of dollars. There is no way that you can make the next winning mutual fund reliably so the whole plan is silly.

You can profitably trade mutual funds but you have to think about it a little harder than this and try to think why mutual funds might provide you with advantage. For example, mutual funds provide you with liquidity that is independent of the liquidity of the underlying investments. How might you take advantage of that? Mutual funds provide you with the ability to transact in the underliers with no market impact. Hmm. what might that do for you? Etc...
 
I listed one link below that is supposed to teach you about trading with little money risk.
 
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