What are the odds of picking a perfect bracket?

Horsegal

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I have done a few brackets for this year's tournament!

1.) First Glance
2.) By Chance, flip of coin (random), then replace all #16 seed's wins with #1 seed teams.
3.) What I think, or sorry What I KNOW!

Help me math classes!

What is the probability of me picking a perfect bracket? Please site any sources that help you figure this out. Explain, how you get the percentage.
 
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