What is the Likelihood of Verizon launching an iPhone in early 2011?

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Dwondergurl:t

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I know that rumors of a Verizon iPhone have been flying around for a while now, but is it likely that they could be true?
this one sounds fairly convincing
http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2010/12/13/rumor-verizon-stockpiling-iphones-for-post-christmas-launch/

I want an iPhone but im not crazy about AT&T or jail-breaking. is there any hope?
 
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