Rookie Trader: Shorting March 2012 Soybean?

Night

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Been trading on paper /electronically for 8 months, seeing a trend in the beans market and thinking of shorting for real.

Thinking of shorting March 2012 Soybean on Monday morning,
seeing Soybeans in a downtrend, does this look like a smart move?
 
Hmmm, are you expecting bumper crops in the spring despite a year of drought throughout Asia?
 
Having been a trend-following commodities trader for a long time, I suggest you try something a little easier than beans. The trade looks okay I suppose though.
 
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